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The Madison Letter:

Daily Commentary
by Staff Writers

March 22, 2010

Madison Trader Comments

The S&P 500 has moved above 1150 and the Madison scores are nicely above 0. We moved out of cash back to a buy on the Madison Market Timing Indicator on Thursday 2/18, more than a month ago. Many are questioning the ability of the market to continue to advance. The correction they believe in imminent. We do not concur but a couple signs now need to be watched closely.

We began to offer a buy and sell strategy via our Madison Market Timing Indicator at the beginnging of April of 2007. We moved to buy on Thursday morning 02/18 and there are now 12 winning trades to 6 losing trades with our market timing results.

[Image 1] [Image 2]

Index Current
Status
Date
Open
Price
Open
Current
Price
Current
Rank
BUY
Point
Neutral
Point
SELL
Point
Details
S&P 500 Neutral     1159.90 16.23 1084 1133 1182

 

DJIA Neutral     10741.98 13.51 10192 10520 10848

 

COMPQ Neutral     2374.41 9.46 2186 2314 2442

 

NASDAQ 100 Neutral     1932.43 10.09 1772 1879 1985

VIX Neutral     16.97 -11.60 16.84 19.16 21.48

 

 

Other Open Signals Long
Short
Date
Open
Price
Open
Current
Price
Date
Closed
Price
Closed
Result %Result Details
EWN Short 07/17/09 16.38 20.10     -3.72 -22.77%  
SWH Long 02/01/10 39.99 42.28     2.29 5.73%  

Year to Date performance of the Madison Letter: We have moved to a new format highlighting all trades since inception. This will provide complete disclosure of all winning and losing trades. To visit go to the home page of www.themadisonletter.com.

Long Term Bull Market: We entered a bear market in October 2007. Alpha will be generated on the short and long side with a series of rallies and failures within the bear market. Currently, a bear market rally is eleven months old with a small correction that ended in two weeks ago. A new rally is currently underway. :

M Cubed Score
The Federal Reserve has been cutting rates as of Tuesday, September 18,2007 and our M Cubed Score is now a buy from sell. This is a significant change. The FOMC concludes its last two day meeting and remained accomodative. The yield curve is very positive with a spread of 289 basis points between the 2 year and 10 year (it was 272 basis points on 12/31/09) while monetary growth is falling at -4.0%.(source of data www.nowandfutures.com) Updated 2/22/09.

Aggressive Trader Comments

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